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Summary

Description
English: Global average temperature, atmospheric CO2, and sunspot activity since 1850. Thick lines for temperature and sunspots represent a 25 year LOWESS and moving average smoothing of the raw data.
Date 11 January 2009 (original upload date)
Source Transferred from en.wikipedia to Commons by Anrie using CommonsHelper.
Author Leland McInnes at English Wikipedia
Other versions
SVG development
InfoField
 
The source code of this SVG is invalid due to an error.
 
This W3C-invalid diagram was created with Matplotlib.
#(light blue) Law Dome CO2 Data: ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/icecore/antarctica/law/law_co2.txt
  1. (blue) Mauna Loa CO2 data: ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt
  2. (red) Temperature Data: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt, http://woodfortrees.org/data/hadcrut4gl/mean:12
  3. (orange) Sunspot data: http://sidc.oma.be/DATA/yearssn.dat, http://www.sidc.be/silso/DATA/SN_y_tot_V2.0.txt

Global average temperature, atmospheric CO2, and sunspot activity since 1850. Thick lines for temperature and sunspots represent a 25 year moving average smoothing of the raw data.

This figure was produced by Leland McInnes using python and matplotlib and is licensed under the GFDL. All data is from publicly available sources.


The plot can likely be updated for more recent data using these same script, though minor modifications may be required for changes in data formats, locations, etc.

This file may be updated to reflect new information.
If you wish to use a specific version of the file without new updates being mirrored, please upload the required version as a separate file.
Source code
InfoField

Python code

#! /usr/bin/env python3
# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pylab as plt
import matplotlib.ticker as ticker
import urllib3
import ftplib
import shutil

plt.rcdefaults()
plt.style.use('classic')

def saveurl(url, fname):
    if url.startswith("ftp"):
        ftp = ftplib.FTP('/'.join(url.split('/')[2:3]))
        ftp.login('', '')
        with open(fname, 'wb') as f:
            res = ftp.retrbinary('RETR %s' % '/'.join(url.split('/')[3:]), f.write)
    else:
        c = urllib3.PoolManager()
        with c.request('GET', url, preload_content=False) as resp, open(fname, 'wb') as out_file:
            shutil.copyfileobj(resp, out_file)
    print('saved', fname, 'from', url)

def smooth_convolution(signal, window_size):
    window_size = 1 + 2 * (window_size // 2) # should be odd
    w = np.hamming(window_size)
    y = (np.convolve(w, signal) / np.convolve(w, np.ones_like(signal)))
    return y[(len(w)-1)//2:-(len(w)//2)]

def smooth_lowess(signal, window_size):
    s = window_size // 2
    window = np.hamming(1+2*s) / np.hamming(1+2*s).sum()
    smoothed = np.empty_like(signal)
    for i in range(len(signal)):
        i0, i1 = max(i-s, 0), min(i+s, len(signal)-1) + 1
        # linear LOWESS smoothing
        smoothed[i] = np.poly1d(np.polyfit(np.arange(i0, i1), signal[i0:i1], deg=1,
            w=np.sqrt(window[i0-i+s:i1-i+s])))(i)
    return smoothed

saveurl("http://woodfortrees.org/data/hadcrut4gl/mean:12", "hadcrut4gl.txt")
with open("hadcrut4gl.txt") as temp_file:
    temp_years, temps = [], []
    for l in temp_file.readlines():
        yT = l.split()
        if (not l.startswith('#')) and len(yT) == 2:
            temp_years.append(float(yT[0]))
            temps.append(float(yT[1]))
    #print('T', list(zip(temp_years, temps)))

saveurl("ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt", "co2_mm_mlo.dat")
with open("co2_mm_mlo.dat") as co2_file:
    data_rows = [x.split() for x in co2_file if not x.startswith("#") and x.find("-99.99") == -1]
    co2_years = [float(x[2]) for x in data_rows]
    co2concs = [float(x[3]) for x in data_rows]
    #print('co2', list(zip(co2_years, co2concs)))

saveurl("ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/icecore/antarctica/law/law_co2.txt", "law_co2.txt")
with open("law_co2.txt", encoding="ISO-8859-1") as lawco2_file:
    data_rows = [x.split() for x in lawco2_file if x.startswith("     1")]
    del data_rows[ [float(x[0]) for x in data_rows].index(1010.):] 
    lawco2_years = [float(x[0]) for x in data_rows]
    lawco2concs = [float(x[-1]) for x in data_rows]
    #print('lawco2', list(zip(lawco2_years, lawco2concs)))

saveurl("http://www.sidc.be/silso/DATA/SN_y_tot_V2.0.txt", "yearssn.dat")
with open("yearssn.dat") as sunspot_file:
    data_rows = [x.split() for x in sunspot_file if "*" not in x]
    sun_years = [float(x[0]) for x in data_rows]
    sunspots = [float(x[1]) for x in data_rows]
    #print('sunspots', list(zip(sun_years, sunspots)))

t_min, t_max = 1850, max(temp_years[-1], co2_years[-1], sun_years[-1])
smoothed_temps = smooth_lowess(temps, 25 * 12)
smoothed_sunspots = smooth_convolution(sunspots, 25)

rect = [0.125, 0.1, 0.775, 0.8]
base_ax = plt.axes(rect)
base_ax.yaxis.tick_left()
plt.yticks([])
plt.xlim(t_min, t_max)
plt.gca().xaxis.set_major_locator(ticker.MultipleLocator(20))
plt.xlabel("Year", size=16)
plt.title(r"Temperature, CO$_2$, and Sunspots", size=22)

temp_ax = plt.axes([rect[0],rect[1]+.42*rect[3],rect[2],.58*rect[3]], frameon=False)
temp_ax.yaxis.tick_left()
plt.plot(temp_years, temps, '#FF2200')
tline = plt.plot(temp_years, smoothed_temps, '#AA0000', lw=3)
plt.xlim(t_min, t_max)
plt.ylim(min(temps)*1.03 - 0.03*max(temps), max(temps)*1.03 - 0.03*min(temps))
plt.yticks(np.arange(-0.6,0.9,0.2))
plt.ylabel(u'Temperature anomaly (°C)', size=14, color='#AA0000')
plt.xticks([])

co2_ax = plt.axes([rect[0],rect[1]+.25*rect[3],rect[2],.5*rect[3]], frameon=False)
co2_ax.yaxis.tick_right()
co2_ax.yaxis.set_label_position("right")
co2_ax.xaxis.tick_bottom()
plt.plot(co2_years, co2concs, '#44AAFF')
cline = plt.plot(lawco2_years, lawco2concs, '#2288EE', lw=2)
plt.xlim(t_min, t_max)
plt.ylabel(r'CO$_2$ (ppm)', size=14, color='#2288EE')
plt.xticks([])

sun_ax = plt.axes([rect[0],rect[1],rect[2],.5*rect[3]], frameon=False)
sun_ax.yaxis.tick_left()
plt.plot(sun_years, sunspots, "#FFDD00")
sline = plt.plot(sun_years, smoothed_sunspots, "#FF9900", lw=3)
plt.xlim(t_min, t_max)
plt.yticks(np.arange(0,250,50))
plt.ylabel("Sunspot number", size=14, color='#FF9900')
plt.xticks([])

plt.sca(base_ax)
t_proxy = plt.Line2D([0], [0], c='#AA0000', lw=3)
c_proxy = plt.Line2D([0], [0], c='#2288EE', lw=3)
s_proxy = plt.Line2D([0], [0], c='#FF9900', lw=3)
plt.legend((t_proxy, c_proxy, s_proxy), ("Temperature", r"CO$_2$", "Sunspots"), loc="upper left")

plt.savefig("Temp-co2-sunspot.svg")
plt.show()

Related Images

Licensing

Leland McInnes at the English-language Wikipedia, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publishes it under the following license:
w:en:Creative Commons
attribution share alike
This file is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported license. Subject to disclaimers.
Attribution: Leland McInnes at the English-language Wikipedia
You are free:
  • to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work
  • to remix – to adapt the work
Under the following conditions:
  • attribution – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
  • share alike – If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same or compatible license as the original.
This licensing tag was added to this file as part of the GFDL licensing update.
GNU head Permission is granted to copy, distribute and/or modify this document under the terms of the GNU Free Documentation License, Version 1.2 or any later version published by the Free Software Foundation; with no Invariant Sections, no Front-Cover Texts, and no Back-Cover Texts. A copy of the license is included in the section entitled GNU Free Documentation License. Subject to disclaimers.

Original upload log

The original description page was here. All following user names refer to en.wikipedia.
  • 2009-01-11 03:45 Leland McInnes 720×540× (102750 bytes)
  • 2008-10-09 00:57 Leland McInnes 600×480× (34962 bytes)
  • 2007-03-11 02:47 Leland McInnes 600×480× (48910 bytes) Fix for wrong data selection
  • 2007-03-11 02:10 Leland McInnes 600×480× (48672 bytes) Update to Had CRUT3 instead of CRUTEM
  • 2007-03-10 20:46 Leland McInnes 600×480× (48525 bytes)
  • 2007-03-10 20:41 Leland McInnes 600×480× (47761 bytes)
  • 2007-03-10 05:01 Leland McInnes 600×480× (33704 bytes) Global average temperature, Mauna Loa CO<sub>2</sub>, and sunspot activity for the last 50 years.

Captions

Graph: Global temperature, atmospheric CO2, and sunspot activity since 1850.

Items portrayed in this file

depicts

11 January 2009

image/svg+xml

File history

Click on a date/time to view the file as it appeared at that time.

Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current20:23, 30 May 2022Thumbnail for version as of 20:23, 30 May 2022720 × 540 (98 KB)Geek3update 2022-04
13:11, 9 April 2021Thumbnail for version as of 13:11, 9 April 2021720 × 540 (106 KB)Geek3update 2021-04
13:04, 26 June 2020Thumbnail for version as of 13:04, 26 June 2020720 × 540 (105 KB)Geek3data update 2020-05, enlarge temperature y-axis
15:10, 6 March 2020Thumbnail for version as of 15:10, 6 March 2020720 × 540 (107 KB)Geek3update with 2020 data
22:15, 22 June 2014Thumbnail for version as of 22:15, 22 June 2014720 × 540 (76 KB)Kopiersperreswitch from hadcrut3 to hadcrut4
20:27, 11 March 2014Thumbnail for version as of 20:27, 11 March 2014720 × 540 (62 KB)Kopiersperreupdate
21:04, 25 June 2012Thumbnail for version as of 21:04, 25 June 2012731 × 551 (75 KB)JohnanthNew version pulled from file discussion, based on the newly updated Python script.
18:38, 20 June 2011Thumbnail for version as of 18:38, 20 June 2011731 × 551 (69 KB)Killiondudehttp://m8y.org/tmp/wikipedia/ Someone was kind enough to use updated stats and redo it.
12:10, 4 May 2009Thumbnail for version as of 12:10, 4 May 2009720 × 540 (100 KB)File Upload Bot (Magnus Manske) {{BotMoveToCommons|en.wikipedia|year={{subst:CURRENTYEAR}}|month={{subst:CURRENTMONTHNAME}}|day={{subst:CURRENTDAY}}}} {{Information |Description={{en|__NOTOC__ Global average temperature, atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>, and sunspot activity since 1850. Thi

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